Global Economic Outlook 2026
Global Economic Outlook 2026 Table 1 presents the latest real GDP growth projections for selected regions, comparing the Interim Economic Outlook figures against December's forecast. Global growth is expected to moderate, with the world economy projected to expand by 2.9% in 2026 before recovering slightly to 3.0% in 2027 — both figures revised downward from earlier estimates. Source: Testing Resilience March 2026, OECD Economic Outlook, Interim Report China's real GDP growth rate remains substantially higher than that of developed economies, projected at 4.4% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027, compared to just 0.8% and 1.2% for the Euro area, and 2.0% and 1.7% for the United States over the same period. However, China's growth trajectory continues its gradual deceleration from the stronger pace seen in the 2010s, confirming the long-anticipated convergence toward OECD levels. I expect this convergence trend to persist over the coming decades, though China will likely maintain a...
